# Difference between revisions of "Eleisha's Segment 32: Contingency Tables: A First Look"

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3. A small jelly bean jar has 2 red jelly beans, 3 blue, and 5 yellow. If 6 jelly beans are chosen at random, what is the chance of getting exactly 2 of each color? What is the name of this distribution? | 3. A small jelly bean jar has 2 red jelly beans, 3 blue, and 5 yellow. If 6 jelly beans are chosen at random, what is the chance of getting exactly 2 of each color? What is the name of this distribution? | ||

− | This is a Hypergeometrical | + | This is a Hypergeometrical Distribution |

− | |||

− | <math> \text{Prob(2 red, 2 blue, 2 yellow} | + | Want to calculate: |

+ | |||

+ | <math> \text{Prob(2 red, 2 blue, 2 yellow)} =\frac{ {2 \choose 2} {3 \choose 2} {5 \choose 2}}{{10 \choose 6}} </math> | ||

<b>To Think About</b> | <b>To Think About</b> |

## Revision as of 09:07, 10 April 2014

**To Calculate **

1. 20 our of 100 U.S. Senators are women, yet when the Senate formed an intramural baseball team of 9 people only 1 woman was chosen for the team. What is the probability of this occurring by chance? What is the p-value with which the null hypothesis "there is no discrimination against women Senators" can be rejected?

2. A large jelly bean jar has 20% red jelly beans, 30% blue, and 50% yellow. If 6 jelly beans are chosen at random, what is the chance of getting exactly 2 of each color? What is the name of this distribution?

This is a multinomial distribution.

**Failed to parse (MathML with SVG or PNG fallback (recommended for modern browsers and accessibility tools): Invalid response ("Math extension cannot connect to Restbase.") from server "https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/":): {\displaystyle N = 6, p_r = 0.2, p_b = 0.3, \text{and } p_y = 0.5 }**

Want to calculate, P, where P:

**Failed to parse (MathML with SVG or PNG fallback (recommended for modern browsers and accessibility tools): Invalid response ("Math extension cannot connect to Restbase.") from server "https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/":): {\displaystyle P = \text{Prob}(\text{2 red, 2 blue, 2 yellow}| N, p_r, p_b, p_y) = \frac{6!}{2!2!2!}(0.2)^2(0.3)^2(0.5)^2 = 0.081 }**

3. A small jelly bean jar has 2 red jelly beans, 3 blue, and 5 yellow. If 6 jelly beans are chosen at random, what is the chance of getting exactly 2 of each color? What is the name of this distribution?

This is a Hypergeometrical Distribution

Want to calculate:

**Failed to parse (MathML with SVG or PNG fallback (recommended for modern browsers and accessibility tools): Invalid response ("Math extension cannot connect to Restbase.") from server "https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/":): {\displaystyle \text{Prob(2 red, 2 blue, 2 yellow)} =\frac{ {2 \choose 2} {3 \choose 2} {5 \choose 2}}{{10 \choose 6}} }**

**To Think About**

1. Suppose that, in the population, 82% of people are right-handed, 18% left handed; 49% are male, 51% female; and that handedness and sex are independent. Repeatedly draw samples of N=15 individuals, form the contingency table, and apply the chi-square test for significance to get a p-value, exactly as described in the lecture segment. How often is your p-value less than 0.05? If you get an answer that is different from 0.05, why? Try larger values of N until the answer converges to 0.05. (How are you handling zero draws when they occur?)

** Back To: ** Eleisha Jackson